Less Humid Weekend, Next Rain on Wed.

Our visible satellite image shows yesterdays showers just to our west heading away from us. A new batch over Alabama may graze the mouth of the river late tomorrow but will stay south of New Orleans. The cooler air is located by the thin broken line of clouds across North Mississippi and Alabama where I have the dashed blue line. That cold front will move south and pass us without any showers tomorrow night.

This cold front won’t exactly usher in Big-10 football weather, but it will drop our temperatures 3-5 degrees and give us less humid conditions. A big ocean storm off the Mid-Atlantic states will drop cooler air south, down the Appalachians and that will eventually move westward towards us. That circuitous path means the air won’t be as cold as the outbreaks that we get straight from the Dakotas.

When even the Foreca graphic is dry until Wednesday, you know it’s going to be dry. We’ll see a lot of sun and with slightly cooler and drier air from late Thursday through Monday, it will be a weekend to get outside. Southshore highs will be similar with a bit more of breeze near the Lake; lows will stay in the low 70s.

Humidity increases on Tuesday and the showers and storms move in with a system from the west next Wednesday. If the system moves in by mid-day, we may stay in the mid 80s. Though it’s a long ways away and model precipitation forecasts leave a lot to be desired seven days ahead of time…the next system could give us several inches.

Next Thursday morning looks wet, then model uncertainty leaves me wondering exactly what will happen next. Most models stall the front in the Gulf to our south east, give us a decent next Friday before another round of rain a week from Saturday Oct. 3. Then, the really nice air comes in for the first full week of October with highs low to mid 80s and lows near 60. We’ll see.

There’s nothing going in the Tropical Atlantic. There’s a slight chance of a wave developing off Africa in about five days, but it will never make it to the Caribbean even if it does develop. We’ll probably never see a hurricane season this quiet in our lifetimes, nor our children’s. Simply amazingly dead.

Foreca graphic for Pensacola Beach shows a perfect weekend afterThursday night showers..